Arside
0xa15e552c362c94700384f0b0f5b6629bffeca640
- Realised P&L
- $-8.92
- Volume
- $78.8k
- Markets traded
- 308
- Open portfolio
- $0.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded308
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 18? · Yes | 0.576 | 0.537 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Kings vs. Celtics · Kings | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder · Spurs | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Cavaliers vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Nets vs. Magic · Nets | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bucks vs. Lakers · Lakers | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Rockets vs. Hornets · Hornets | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Thunder vs. Spurs · Thunder | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Knicks vs. Raptors · Raptors | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Heat vs. Timberwolves · Heat | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Kings vs. Pistons · Kings | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Knicks vs. Warriors · Knicks | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Warriors vs. Jazz · Jazz | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers · Knicks | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Lakers vs. Clippers · Lakers | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.27at 0.110Wizards vs. Pistons
- +$20.08at 0.130Bulls vs. Timberwolves
- +$16.18at 0.110Hornets vs. Thunder
- +$14.65at 0.170Pacers vs. Knicks
- +$12.00at 0.200Bucks vs. Magic
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 09:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.5759997926 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 09:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 08-30 16:27 | Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffs | BUY | 0.7799999813 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 20:56 | Venezuela vs. Brazil | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 20:56 | Cary (Doubles): Martinez/Nedunchezhiyan vs Boulais/Maginley | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 22:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 22? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 22:43 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 22:43 | Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 22:43 | Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 22:43 | Spread: Algeria (-1.5) | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 09:59 | Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 05-25 23:18 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 05-25 23:18 | Knicks vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.5499999633 | $3.00 |
| 04-29 10:31 | KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 04-29 10:31 | Ostrava: Marco Cecchinato vs Garrett Johns | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |