0x98A163800a312aB89FD1ee43739b637c1DD32384-1773366573513
0xa15e35c70bf9789d7a651522cd366989d25db828
- Realised P&L
- $7.8k
- Volume
- $640.3k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.045Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$1.3kat 0.293Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-09-12?
- +$853.55at 0.760Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-08-16?
- +$457.57at 0.514Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-08-30?
- +$404.08at 0.847Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-08-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 02:41 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.36 | $75.94 |
| 09-14 02:41 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.35 | $38.50 |
| 09-13 22:23 | Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-13? | SELL | 0.93 | $669.72 |
| 09-12 19:42 | Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-09-12? | SELL | 0.52 | $1.0k |
| 09-12 12:59 | Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.3 | $500.00 |
| 09-10 18:32 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.202 | $19.24 |
| 09-09 23:33 | Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-08 01:14 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.33 | $95.04 |
| 09-08 01:14 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.32 | $9.28 |
| 09-08 01:14 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.32 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 01:14 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.31 | $87.73 |
| 09-08 01:14 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3 | $38.70 |
| 09-08 01:14 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.29 | $25.81 |
| 09-08 01:14 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.28 | $40.68 |
| 09-08 01:14 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.27 | $59.45 |