qirt
0xa15900a022ed470b5887702667b675fa4ff18969
- Realised P&L
- $13.30
- Volume
- $57.0k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $32.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.968 | 0.988 | $32.59 | +$0.64 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.47at 0.926Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27?
- +$1.50at 0.642Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.84at 0.968Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4?
- +$0.48at 0.980Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 28-October 4?
- +$0.47at 0.981Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 14:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.987 | $31.58 |
| 10-03 02:41 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.978 | $30.32 |
| 10-01 00:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.9909999999 | $30.00 |
| 09-30 14:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.994 | $29.00 |
| 09-25 16:16 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.989 | $36.59 |
| 09-21 12:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.921 | $34.02 |
| 09-19 14:41 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 19? | BUY | 0.992 | $33.73 |
| 09-19 03:36 | Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on September 18? | BUY | 0.996 | $32.87 |
| 09-18 15:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.993 | $32.77 |
| 09-17 15:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $32.67 |
| 09-14 03:48 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.993 | $32.77 |
| 09-14 03:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13? | SELL | 0.999 | $32.97 |
| 09-13 14:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.985 | $32.51 |
| 09-10 15:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.995 | $31.84 |
| 09-09 15:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.997 | $31.90 |