PolyBot

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Traders

0xa1583fe91c3e7d034bb594997550fcd08a2059ad

0xa1583fe91c3e7d034bb594997550fcd08a2059ad

Realised P&L
$-11.33
Volume
$163.00
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$4.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)43.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? · Yes0.5200.850$1.63+$0.63
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · No0.7900.785$0.99−$0.01
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes0.6200.455$0.73−$0.27
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? · No0.6700.465$0.69−$0.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 05:57Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-12 21:57Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
10-11 01:26Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
10-10 04:34Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-09 18:09Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-09 10:07Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.7989999696$1.00
10-08 14:05Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.7679996068$1.00
10-08 06:00Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.2989999647$1.00
10-06 21:55Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
10-02 21:44Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
10-02 13:20Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?BUY0.4099998975$1.00
10-02 05:19Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
09-26 05:08Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
09-25 20:57Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?BUY0.29999994$1.00
09-19 10:57Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.3499999825$2.00