0xa1583fe91c3e7d034bb594997550fcd08a2059ad
0xa1583fe91c3e7d034bb594997550fcd08a2059ad
- Realised P&L
- $-11.33
- Volume
- $163.00
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $4.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.850 | $1.63 | +$0.63 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.785 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.455 | $0.73 | −$0.27 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? · No | 0.670 | 0.465 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.82at 0.422Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?
- +$2.00at 0.341Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?
- +$1.93at 0.410Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?
- +$1.92at 0.452Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 05:57 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 21:57 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 01:26 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 04:34 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 18:09 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 10:07 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7989999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 14:05 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7679996068 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 06:00 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2989999647 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 21:55 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 21:44 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:20 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:19 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 05:08 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 20:57 | Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 10:57 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $2.00 |