PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xA156A9Ff3db348cF88Ab6346C54Cf1Df89a4639f-1768451915152

0xa156a9ff3db348cf88ab6346c54cf1df89a4639f

Realised P&L
$-331.32
Volume
$13.7k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$16.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October? · No0.9300.940$15.16+$0.16
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.8620.639$0.74−$0.26
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9200.415$0.45−$0.55
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · No0.6700.000$0.00−$17.90
Will Russia capture Toretske by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Hyperliquid reach $40 in March? · No0.9100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 26? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? · No0.9000.000$0.00−$160.99
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? · No0.7640.000$0.00−$98.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 09:57Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?BUY0.9299999975$15.00
09-20 08:48Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.6699999978$17.90
09-14 06:59Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.21$18.93
09-03 14:03Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6099999993$54.98
09-01 10:11Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.42$57.60
08-29 09:07Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5799999987$79.55
08-29 09:07Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?SELL0.984$81.59
08-26 12:51Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?BUY0.8789999987$72.89
08-25 03:16Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?SELL0.553$75.57
08-21 23:16Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?BUY0.7169999941$97.98
08-20 00:27Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?BUY0.7639999988$98.21
08-14 09:57Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?BUY0.9$160.99
07-22 02:43Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 22?SELL0.88$14.66
07-22 02:37Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 22?SELL0.87$2.61
07-22 00:28Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?BUY0.81$81.00