0xA151eeAeC15f0c0f91Ef1671F4d2B9f16F88e516-1721735587777
0xa151eeaec15f0c0f91ef1671f4d2b9f16f88e516
- Realised P&L
- $-42.82
- Volume
- $6.1k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $4.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $4.12 | −$5.88 |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.008 | 0.004 | $0.44 | −$0.56 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.32at 0.467Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)
- +$2.08at 0.708Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$-3.06at 0.367Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner
- +$-5.11at 0.286Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 07:28 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 07:28 | Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0048506015 | $10.00 |
| 05-17 18:27 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.0072943204 | $18.00 |
| 05-16 14:09 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.0104426646 | $10.00 |
| 05-02 16:42 | Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5) | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 05-02 16:42 | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.3599999376 | $3.00 |
| 05-02 16:42 | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 05-02 16:38 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 05-02 16:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |