nmjki8tyt6
0xa1514de0abd7b0f8ee83ea3a80a646e36704990b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.61
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $14.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C or below on October 10? · No | 0.998 | 0.991 | $14.26 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.500Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C or below on August 16?
- +$0.45at 0.962Will ITG's market cap be less than $2.1B at market close on IPO day?
- +$0.45at 0.920Rams vs. Broncos: O/U 27.5
- +$0.38at 0.962Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 25?
- +$0.35at 0.942Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 10:10 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C or below on October 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.36 |
| 10-07 08:38 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.994 | $7.06 |
| 09-27 14:43 | Rams vs. Broncos: O/U 27.5 | BUY | 0.92 | $5.14 |
| 07-13 02:49 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 14? | BUY | 0.939 | $5.62 |
| 07-07 14:07 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $114 Week of July 6 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $7.99 |
| 07-01 14:19 | Will ITG's market cap be less than $2.1B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.96 | $11.19 |
| 06-24 12:20 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 25? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.59 |
| 06-12 01:24 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 13? | BUY | 0.9870192857 | $13.82 |
| 06-03 13:39 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on June 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.89 |
| 05-29 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on May 30? | BUY | 0.984 | $9.45 |