PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nmjki8tyt6

0xa1514de0abd7b0f8ee83ea3a80a646e36704990b

Realised P&L
$-1.61
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$14.26

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration99.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C or below on October 10? · No0.9980.991$14.26−$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 10:10Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C or below on October 10?BUY0.998$14.36
10-07 08:38Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 8?BUY0.994$7.06
09-27 14:43Rams vs. Broncos: O/U 27.5BUY0.92$5.14
07-13 02:49Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 14?BUY0.939$5.62
07-07 14:07Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $114 Week of July 6 2026?BUY0.98$7.99
07-01 14:19Will ITG's market cap be less than $2.1B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.96$11.19
06-24 12:20Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 25?BUY0.96$9.59
06-12 01:24Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 13?BUY0.9870192857$13.82
06-03 13:39S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on June 3?BUY0.99$10.89
05-29 14:25Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on May 30?BUY0.984$9.45