0xA14BFe786f4028c015089CB27Ed691e7e95D244D-1782330173532
0xa14bfe786f4028c015089cb27ed691e7e95d244d
- Realised P&L
- $977.66
- Volume
- $9.7k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $66.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$409.93at 0.248Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$310.04at 0.333Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$294.61at 0.310Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$214.04at 0.326Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$167.12at 0.382Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 19:29 | LAPTOP FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0127525337 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 19:29 | LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3393213565 | $100.00 |
| 09-09 19:29 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2150603989 | $100.00 |
| 09-09 19:22 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 19:04 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4699999988 | $100.00 |
| 09-09 19:00 | José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? | BUY | 0.0268817472 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 08:42 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 08:39 | José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? | BUY | 0.1062551428 | $100.00 |
| 07-16 13:19 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.369999998 | $100.00 |
| 07-16 13:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 16? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 13:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on July 16? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 13:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 16? | BUY | 0.008999991 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 13:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 16? | BUY | 0.0013574139 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 12:59 | José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 22:04 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3224999986 | $150.00 |