PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xA14BFe786f4028c015089CB27Ed691e7e95D244D-1782330173532

0xa14bfe786f4028c015089cb27ed691e7e95d244d

Realised P&L
$977.66
Volume
$9.7k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$66.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar10.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? · Yes0.0820.030$44.41−$75.59
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · Yes0.1240.045$21.70−$38.30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 16? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$1.00
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Conor McGregor0.3100.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? · Yes0.3220.000$0.00−$10.00
LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch? · Yes0.3390.000$0.00−$100.00
LAPTOP FDV above $5B one day after launch? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 16? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 16? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4650.000$0.00−$105.00
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2150.000$0.00−$100.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on July 16? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 19:29LAPTOP FDV above $5B one day after launch?BUY0.0127525337$10.00
09-09 19:29LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch?BUY0.3393213565$100.00
09-09 19:29LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.2150603989$100.00
09-09 19:22Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.08$10.00
09-09 19:04Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4699999988$100.00
09-09 19:00José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?BUY0.0268817472$10.00
07-30 08:42Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.3899999774$5.00
07-30 08:39José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?BUY0.1062551428$100.00
07-16 13:19Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.369999998$100.00
07-16 13:13Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 16?BUY0.001$1.00
07-16 13:13Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on July 16?BUY0.001$1.00
07-16 13:13Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 16?BUY0.008999991$1.00
07-16 13:13Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 16?BUY0.0013574139$1.00
07-16 12:59José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?BUY0.0699999939$10.00
07-14 22:04Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3224999986$150.00