PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xA13AA8E042779385d0200c06BD54058FF95B1244-1773242448223

0xa13aa8e042779385d0200c06bd54058ff95b1244

Realised P&L
$-21.95
Volume
$939.52
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$3.33

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3290.065$1.08$4.37
Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes0.0570.011$1.00$4.00
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · Yes0.3400.175$0.51$0.49
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? · Yes0.2700.046$0.34$1.66
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.4000.135$0.34$0.66
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be less than 3.00%? · Yes0.0290.002$0.05$0.95
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00$1.00
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting? · No0.1060.000$0.00$1.00
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET · Up0.2680.000$0.00$60.95
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-25 16:16Cuban regime falls in 2026?BUY0.4$1.00
03-25 16:15Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?SELL0.046$0.57
03-12 16:00Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.0090000034$2.00
03-12 15:59Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.45$1.35
03-12 15:57Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.4398153829$0.97
03-11 15:58Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
03-11 15:58Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
03-11 15:57Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0869999272$1.00
03-11 15:50Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?BUY0.33999983$1.00
03-11 15:46Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
03-11 15:45Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?BUY0.1059999082$1.00
03-11 15:45No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
03-11 15:45Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$1.00
03-11 15:44Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be less than 3.00%?BUY0.0285489271$1.00
03-11 15:42Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?BUY0.0805969435$1.00