yggdo
0xa13a3d3cb6635caad0e0471b38472fa2bb86896c
- Realised P&L
- $-103.04
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $21.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.105 | $21.42 | −$147.79 |
| Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? · Yes | 0.135 | 0.069 | $0.41 | −$0.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.35at 0.676EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$8.00at 0.480Will Exponent launch a token by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.98at 0.866Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
- +$-1.80at 0.057Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
- +$-3.60at 0.720First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-21 11:19 | Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $3.21 |
| 01-20 13:16 | Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $8.71 |
| 01-18 08:24 | Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8655882353 | $58.86 |
| 01-01 21:48 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.74 | $14.67 |
| 01-01 07:55 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.73 | $21.90 |
| 01-01 07:37 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.74 | $18.50 |
| 12-28 02:34 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.50 |
| 12-26 14:47 | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BUY | 0.72 | $115.20 |
| 12-26 12:32 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.65 | $32.50 |
| 12-26 12:31 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.65 | $65.00 |
| 12-26 12:30 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.65 | $65.00 |
| 12-26 12:25 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.64 | $96.00 |
| 12-26 12:25 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $55.00 |
| 12-25 07:07 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $33.60 |
| 12-25 05:18 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $26.40 |