Kris-Future
0xa139daa9e38c0b6d24443bede2d34bcdc4256f00
- Realised P&L
- $20.0k
- Volume
- $627.1k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $28.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No | 0.967 | 0.997 | $11.2k | +$329.67 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes | 0.137 | 0.125 | $10.8k | −$1.1k |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? · No | 0.919 | 0.995 | $4.0k | +$305.00 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · No | 0.935 | 0.968 | $2.0k | +$68.73 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes | 0.275 | 0.075 | $150.00 | −$400.00 |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · Yes | 0.138 | 0.033 | $128.50 | −$418.92 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No | 0.726 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.7k |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$880.00 |
| Germany leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$456.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.0kat 0.621US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$3.7kat 0.829US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$2.4kat 0.880Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$2.0kat 0.805US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.917Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 09:11 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | BUY | 0.7 | $224.20 |
| 09-02 20:17 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.94 | $376.00 |
| 09-02 20:17 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15? | BUY | 0.977 | $488.50 |
| 09-02 20:13 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $180.00 |
| 08-27 15:43 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15? | BUY | 0.85 | $295.80 |
| 08-23 15:47 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15? | BUY | 0.94 | $282.00 |
| 08-22 13:42 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $140.00 |
| 08-21 19:35 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15? | BUY | 0.93 | $279.00 |
| 08-21 10:30 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15? | BUY | 0.92 | $460.00 |
| 08-21 10:28 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15? | BUY | 0.92 | $828.00 |
| 08-21 10:27 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $140.00 |
| 08-20 21:57 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15? | BUY | 0.92 | $828.00 |
| 08-20 21:56 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $130.72 |
| 08-20 21:56 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $140.00 |
| 08-20 10:31 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15? | BUY | 0.92 | $276.00 |