PolyBot

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Traders

Sir.Bogdanoff

0xa130e3fa8fce43495dbb649202630ad5c1f6b662

Realised P&L
$4.2k
Volume
$95.0k
Markets traded
151
Open portfolio
$10.06

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded151
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Anduril IPO before 2027? · Yes0.4490.045$10.06$90.38
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET · Down0.4520.000$0.00$6.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Up0.4540.000$0.00$12.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET · Up0.2890.000$0.00$17.35
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 8? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$1.02
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET · Down0.4470.000$0.00$6.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Down0.3890.000$0.00$27.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-10 21:11Anduril IPO before 2027?BUY0.449304196$100.44
03-08 07:50Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?SELL0.999$112.76
03-07 05:26Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?BUY0.626010575$70.66
03-06 14:24Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETBUY0.3499999615$4.87
03-06 14:13Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.359999977$4.87
03-06 14:00Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL0.1139198689$80.67
03-06 13:32Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.0749999846$4.25
03-06 13:32Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.076$15.00
03-06 13:00Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 8?BUY0.2099998744$1.02
03-06 13:00Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL0.1410775623$1.02
03-06 06:48Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.3694589761$39.00
03-06 06:39Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.3556441314$44.71
03-06 06:39Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL0.506$44.71
03-06 06:35Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.5213065988$40.85
03-06 05:40Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.48$4.80