Setinagocat
0xa12fd9bb503b694e3c766e952d99588e802493fa
- Realised P&L
- $-168.97
- Volume
- $7.9k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $1.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)39.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.205 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Neither team to score first? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.075 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Half · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Magnus Carlsen Win Title Tuesday? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.334 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina | 0.408 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$108.00 |
| Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura Win Title Tuesday? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.20at 0.386Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
- +$11.24at 0.477England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$10.99at 0.223Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
- +$9.54at 0.351France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$5.24at 0.371Norway to score first vs. England?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 13:57 | Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Neither team to score first? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 13:56 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 13:55 | Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 09:29 | Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 07-20 02:13 | Will Magnus Carlsen Win Title Tuesday? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 02:12 | Will Hikaru Nakamura Win Title Tuesday? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 13:20 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 13:13 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Half | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 13:13 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4089999809 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 09:20 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.407499998 | $103.00 |
| 07-19 00:56 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 13:37 | Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England? | BUY | 0.0429999921 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 13:36 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 13:35 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 02:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |