LowkeyNapoleon1805
0xa12f973b33ede60406f2d5e0001ee086902d17a0
- Realised P&L
- $-147.27
- Volume
- $53.6k
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $22.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.91at 0.156Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$48.24at 0.592Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
- +$19.64at 0.086Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
- +$13.04at 0.256Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?
- +$12.79at 0.430Will Belgium win on 2026-03-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 15:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 20:51 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | SELL | 0.15 | $10.71 |
| 06-17 20:16 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 20:57 | Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | SELL | 0.96 | $8.34 |
| 06-15 19:42 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $2.00 |
| 06-15 19:42 | Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.3699999112 | $2.00 |
| 06-15 19:22 | Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | SELL | 0.3 | $4.28 |
| 06-15 19:04 | Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 06-15 19:04 | Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.1399999426 | $2.00 |
| 06-15 00:57 | Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 06-15 00:56 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | SELL | 0.91 | $18.20 |
| 06-15 00:56 | Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.85 |
| 06-15 00:26 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | SELL | 0.24 | $3.75 |
| 06-15 00:20 | Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 00:19 | Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | SELL | 0.46 | $5.47 |