Mr.Atlas1
0xa11f1da1bcdea1b1c72c7754dc21877df4a194f3
- Realised P&L
- $-145.23
- Volume
- $21.4k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $4.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.538 | 0.435 | $4.6k | −$1.1k |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.125 | 0.096 | $76.40 | −$23.60 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.583 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$105.52 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET · Down | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.25at 0.413Bitcoin Up or Down on February 21?
- +$15.30at 0.627Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
- +$9.93at 0.870Khamenei seen in public by February 28?
- +$8.77at 0.832Trump out as President before 2027?
- +$6.00at 0.810Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 11:35 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.583 | $105.52 |
| 10-03 11:30 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.53 | $106.00 |
| 08-19 20:41 | Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.5899999917 | $1.42 |
| 08-19 20:40 | Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 18:42 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.5500301527 | $300.00 |
| 08-11 18:28 | Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.6099999996 | $86.00 |
| 08-11 18:27 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.3076367293 | $85.67 |
| 08-10 07:30 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.5683884416 | $578.42 |
| 08-10 07:29 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.95 | $448.65 |
| 08-09 17:29 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.5599999969 | $50.00 |
| 08-08 22:37 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.5602704996 | $70.00 |
| 08-08 22:36 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.5508196381 | $6.00 |
| 08-08 22:35 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.94 | $470.00 |
| 08-08 21:59 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.5499999984 | $139.75 |
| 08-08 21:58 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.5399999985 | $120.00 |