0xa11b81e5ee72fa444cbc3b5b1e062daa2130a638
- Realised P&L
- $2.93
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $3.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.35at 0.072Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 19?
- +$0.33at 0.753Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 19?
- +$0.13at 0.880Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 19?
- +$0.08at 0.240Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:47 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 18:44 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 18:43 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 18:35 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.1428435319 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 18:33 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 19:06 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.48 |
| 08-19 08:56 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.14 |
| 08-19 08:55 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 19? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.17 |
| 08-19 08:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.35 |
| 08-18 15:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on August 19? | BUY | 0.001646535 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 15:37 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on August 19? | BUY | 0.0130618643 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 15:36 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 15:36 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 15:23 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 15:22 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.0192672659 | $1.00 |