PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

HadrianVossler

0xa10faa791448354d986851ca2aedb1122c7b8604

Realised P&L
$209.75
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$19.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar19.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.8400.953$17.01+$2.01
Will the Republican Party win the LA-01 House seat? · Yes0.9300.969$2.08+$0.08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.7900.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$50.00
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? · No0.9520.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$40.00
Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox0.7100.000$0.00−$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 08:31Athletics vs. Boston Red SoxBUY0.7099999915$15.00
07-23 07:59Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 20-26?BUY0.7899999476$8.90
07-04 07:48Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY0.7099999503$3.00
07-04 07:47Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.6999999767$3.00
07-04 07:47Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?BUY0.8799999922$9.00
07-04 07:47Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.8299999834$8.00
06-01 11:17Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETBUY0.5099999952$30.00
06-01 11:17Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.5$60.00
06-01 11:17Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETBUY0.5099999986$50.00
06-01 11:16Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETBUY0.5099999786$10.00
06-01 11:16Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.5$40.00
05-15 10:18Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.7899999826$5.00
05-15 10:17Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?BUY0.9523809524$10.00
05-15 10:17Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.8399999754$15.00
04-19 22:34Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5BUY0.4799999991$184.07