HadrianVossler
0xa10faa791448354d986851ca2aedb1122c7b8604
- Realised P&L
- $209.75
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $19.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar19.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No | 0.840 | 0.953 | $17.01 | +$2.01 |
| Will the Republican Party win the LA-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.969 | $2.08 | +$0.08 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? · No | 0.952 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$199.66at 0.488Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5
- +$89.54at 0.527Games Total: O/U 2.5
- +$57.90at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
- +$9.26at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
- +$2.23at 0.802Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 20-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 08:31 | Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.7099999915 | $15.00 |
| 07-23 07:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.7899999476 | $8.90 |
| 07-04 07:48 | Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7099999503 | $3.00 |
| 07-04 07:47 | Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6999999767 | $3.00 |
| 07-04 07:47 | Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8799999922 | $9.00 |
| 07-04 07:47 | Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.8299999834 | $8.00 |
| 06-01 11:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999952 | $30.00 |
| 06-01 11:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $60.00 |
| 06-01 11:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999986 | $50.00 |
| 06-01 11:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 06-01 11:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $40.00 |
| 05-15 10:18 | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.7899999826 | $5.00 |
| 05-15 10:17 | Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | BUY | 0.9523809524 | $10.00 |
| 05-15 10:17 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999754 | $15.00 |
| 04-19 22:34 | Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5 | BUY | 0.4799999991 | $184.07 |