viperfan
0xa10cb19d87d99dee699474dcc50163bed3c541ca
- Realised P&L
- $-145.81
- Volume
- $21.7k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $94.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$201.80at 0.890Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?
- +$198.37at 0.371Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?
- +$176.34at 0.378Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours?
- +$135.95at 0.438XRP Up or Down - August 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
- +$119.46at 0.330XRP Up or Down - August 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 06:58 | Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31? | SELL | 0.042 | $0.21 |
| 10-23 06:45 | Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31? | BUY | 0.0414117709 | $22.00 |
| 10-23 05:32 | Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.2899967772 | $87.00 |
| 10-21 04:35 | XRP Up or Down - October 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | BUY | 0.2131010838 | $20.00 |
| 10-08 23:37 | Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9? | BUY | 0.2999999516 | $1.24 |
| 09-19 15:28 | Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs M80 (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs | BUY | 0.4699999799 | $10.76 |
| 09-10 16:09 | XRP Up or Down - September 10, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.2596153814 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 15:22 | XRP Up or Down - September 10, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.3033333333 | $9.10 |
| 09-08 23:40 | Will John Ternus say "Chip" during his Apple Keynote? | BUY | 0.49 | $87.89 |
| 09-08 23:39 | Will John Ternus say "Chip" during his Apple Keynote? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 09-08 22:38 | Will John Ternus say "Chip" during his Apple Keynote? | BUY | 0.4599999087 | $1.41 |
| 09-08 07:59 | Will John Ternus not speak during the event, or the event not air? | BUY | 0.0112335791 | $3.00 |
| 09-08 05:42 | Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote? | BUY | 0.5699999986 | $130.00 |
| 09-08 05:11 | Will John Ternus say "Fold" or "Folding" or "Foldable" 10+ times during his Apple Keynote? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $30.00 |
| 09-08 05:11 | Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $30.00 |