ZZXX-521
0xa0f1dfe524dc40cd2b44770c1def11eee67bab6f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $68.0k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $71.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.994 | 1.000 | $68.38 | +$0.38 |
| GTA VI released by September 30? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.004 | $3.17 | −$11.82 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 19? · Up | 0.379 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.91 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on March 12? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.98at 0.656Will England win on 2026-07-15?
- +$12.66at 0.605Bitcoin Up or Down on March 10?
- +$8.47at 0.565Bitcoin Up or Down on March 29?
- +$6.88at 0.686Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 29?
- +$4.76at 0.701Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 14:15 | GTA VI released by September 30? | BUY | 0.0188971354 | $15.00 |
| 07-15 13:49 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.6449999973 | $30.00 |
| 07-15 13:48 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | SELL | 0.91 | $33.70 |
| 06-03 04:57 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.994 | $68.00 |
| 06-03 04:57 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.8099999957 | $30.00 |
| 06-03 04:56 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $25.00 |
| 05-21 12:30 | GTA VI released before June 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $125.00 |
| 05-13 00:58 | Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.9369999978 | $13.00 |
| 05-05 01:27 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 6? | BUY | 0.6905829588 | $11.00 |
| 04-30 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be 56°F or higher on May 2? | BUY | 0.992 | $8.00 |
| 04-19 12:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 19? | BUY | 0.2259830479 | $4.44 |
| 04-10 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April 11? | BUY | 0.7099999697 | $21.36 |
| 03-29 06:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 29? | BUY | 0.5899999902 | $5.82 |
| 03-28 05:25 | Valorant: Insomnia vs REIGNITE FOXX (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 1 | BUY | 0.9738382542 | $11.00 |
| 03-28 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 29? | BUY | 0.685639329 | $15.00 |