0xa0E9e7676D20dDCefae6BAcA2ce51D1ACEbe1f00-1726048946452
0xa0e9e7676d20ddcefae6baca2ce51d1acebe1f00
- Realised P&L
- $-5.3k
- Volume
- $134.4k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $310.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.485US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$607.59at 0.547US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$424.97at 0.389Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
- +$416.32at 0.530Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$331.63at 0.440US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 14:10 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 09-12 14:08 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 06-23 04:09 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 06-22 11:03 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.21 | $105.00 |
| 06-22 11:02 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.2033224633 | $86.04 |
| 06-22 11:01 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.11 | $69.61 |
| 06-22 11:01 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $57.18 |
| 06-22 11:00 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.10 |
| 06-22 11:00 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.07 | $10.76 |
| 06-22 10:59 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $531.92 |
| 06-17 07:41 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1199999958 | $23.00 |
| 06-16 07:57 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0056707885 | $20.22 |
| 06-16 07:20 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.13 | $507.00 |
| 06-16 07:19 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.39 | $477.75 |
| 06-16 00:48 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.39 | $397.80 |