0xa0e6caf8380a3712a43cb0a5235d80086de1f366
0xa0e6caf8380a3712a43cb0a5235d80086de1f366
- Realised P&L
- $-10.81
- Volume
- $219.38
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $2.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in August? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.260 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.605 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.395 | $0.62 | −$0.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.65at 0.361Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$2.70at 0.270US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$2.39at 0.462Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?
- +$2.21at 0.689Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of July 20 2026?
- +$1.95at 0.512Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 07:23 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 10:35 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in August? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 02:34 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 02:33 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 05:07 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 20:55 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 12:52 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 12:09 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 11:27 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 03:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 19:44 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 08-19 22:52 | Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.00 |
| 08-19 14:45 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 08-19 06:27 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 08-15 05:37 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399997262 | $2.00 |