PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa0e00f71bbfeb58f279442b7a4bf38fcb7aa0fcb

0xa0e00f71bbfeb58f279442b7a4bf38fcb7aa0fcb

Realised P&L
$162.46
Volume
$23.4k
Markets traded
475
Open portfolio
$145.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded475
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0950.292$46.19+$31.19
Will Israel win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.3000.315$5.25+$0.25
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.2600.265$5.10+$0.10
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.8600.875$5.09+$0.09
Will Germany win on 2026-10-04? · Yes0.4600.465$5.05+$0.05
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.4800.485$5.05+$0.05
Will Spain win on 2026-10-03? · Yes0.9000.895$4.97−$0.03
Will France win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.7000.695$4.96−$0.04
Will Scotland win on 2026-10-03? · Yes0.5500.545$4.95−$0.05
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.3800.375$4.93−$0.07
Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.7300.720$4.93−$0.07
Will Greece vs. Netherlands end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.265$4.91−$0.09
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.6900.675$4.89−$0.11
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.6500.635$4.88−$0.12
Will Italy win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.1400.135$4.82−$0.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 18:40Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.4599999669$5.00
09-30 18:39Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.3799999924$5.00
09-30 18:39Will Sweden win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.4099999984$5.00
09-30 18:39Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.7299999007$5.00
09-30 18:39Will Scotland win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.549999956$5.00
09-30 18:39Will Serbia win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.0699999994$5.00
09-30 18:38Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.1399999989$5.00
09-30 18:38Will France win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.699999972$5.00
09-30 18:38Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.2599999896$5.00
09-30 18:38Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.86$5.00
09-30 18:37Will Israel win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.299999994$5.00
09-30 18:37Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-30?BUY0.0899999993$5.00
09-30 18:37Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.649999974$5.00
09-30 18:36Will Spain vs. Czechia end in a draw?BUY0.08$5.00
09-30 18:36Will Czechia win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.0299999999$5.00