PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa0dfbf7edc8c4435215be2ee4247ab646c483997

Realised P&L
$-1.21
Volume
$95.00
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$2.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? · Yes0.4300.425$0.99$0.01
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.2800.245$0.88$0.12
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.4300.290$0.67$0.33
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No0.7200.001$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 23:09Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
09-14 14:08Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 14?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-14 06:03Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-13 22:01Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
09-11 12:25SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11?BUY0.219999978$1.00
09-11 03:56S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 11?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
09-10 18:07Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
09-10 08:27US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
09-09 13:34Will Trump say "Endorse" or "Endorsed" or "Endorsement" during RNC Convention?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
09-09 04:24S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-08 15:33Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.2650956744$1.00
09-08 02:50Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
09-07 08:43US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
09-04 00:48S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 4?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
09-03 13:32Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.75$1.00