0xa0dfbf7edc8c4435215be2ee4247ab646c483997
- Realised P&L
- $-1.21
- Volume
- $95.00
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $2.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.425 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.245 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.430 | 0.290 | $0.67 | −$0.33 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.720 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.91at 0.349Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.61at 0.389Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$1.54at 0.400S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9?
- +$1.15at 0.470Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
- +$1.11at 0.480Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of August 31 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 23:09 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 14:08 | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 14? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 06:03 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:01 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 12:25 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 03:56 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 18:07 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 08:27 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 13:34 | Will Trump say "Endorse" or "Endorsed" or "Endorsement" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 04:24 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 15:33 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.2650956744 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 02:50 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 08:43 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 00:48 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 4? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 13:32 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |