sxdr334
0xa0dbd85f7716430899828461e73a8e2194d80523
- Realised P&L
- $433.69
- Volume
- $14.1k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $38.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No | 0.974 | 0.984 | $29.52 | +$0.30 |
| Beezie FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.900 | 0.860 | $9.46 | −$0.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$441.87at 0.580Clippers vs. Mavericks
- +$1.16at 0.974Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?
- +$0.39at 0.953MetaMask airdrop in 2024?
- +$0.30at 0.947Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$0.24at 0.843Arsenal wins the Premier League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-28 02:48 | Opinion FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.995 | $6.02 |
| 02-28 02:47 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 02-28 02:47 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.00 |
| 02-28 02:47 | Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.00 |
| 02-28 02:47 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.70 |
| 02-28 02:46 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.947 | $5.30 |
| 11-14 15:20 | Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $21.91 |
| 09-30 06:03 | Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $32.32 |
| 07-17 14:46 | Will XRP reach $4.0 in July? | SELL | 0.724 | $32.17 |
| 04-24 08:24 | Will Ethereum reach $2600 in April? | BUY | 0.9949999812 | $41.56 |
| 01-08 11:43 | Bournemouth wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.996 | $39.57 |
| 01-08 11:41 | Aston Villa wins the Premier League? | SELL | 0.994 | $39.57 |
| 12-28 09:34 | Aston Villa wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.995 | $39.62 |
| 12-28 09:33 | Arsenal wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.8429999846 | $1.31 |
| 12-28 09:33 | Manchester City wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.984 | $1.80 |