0x206D973989E0751b1e030520bF834E127eB07518-1766293810829
0xa0d9b670ee7b1d71308af2d24cf032d05cb1c66d
- Realised P&L
- $-327.20
- Volume
- $20.2k
- Markets traded
- 482
- Open portfolio
- $641.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded482
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.92at 0.659Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
- +$31.07at 0.413Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
- +$30.60at 0.627Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
- +$28.93at 0.751Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
- +$28.36at 0.653Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 13:54 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.366 | $15.01 |
| 10-08 13:54 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.57 |
| 10-08 13:53 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.041 | $0.44 |
| 10-08 09:24 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.3578377691 | $23.93 |
| 10-06 11:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | SELL | 0.63 | $6.30 |
| 10-06 11:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 11:42 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | SELL | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 10-06 11:42 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 10-06 04:53 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $50.60 |
| 10-05 06:40 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.959 | $105.49 |
| 10-04 14:04 | Will Declan Rice finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.72 | $316.80 |
| 10-04 12:30 | Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.83 | $282.20 |
| 10-04 02:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.842 | $32.00 |
| 10-03 03:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.94 | $11.60 |
| 10-02 03:53 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.9462720833 | $90.84 |