PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x206D973989E0751b1e030520bF834E127eB07518-1766293810829

0xa0d9b670ee7b1d71308af2d24cf032d05cb1c66d

Realised P&L
$-327.20
Volume
$20.2k
Markets traded
482
Open portfolio
$641.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded482
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.7200.800$352.00+$35.20
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.8300.850$289.00+$6.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET · Up0.4100.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET · Down0.0600.000$0.00−$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 27? · Yes0.1150.000$0.00−$2.25
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.7330.000$0.00−$10.86
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Down0.3500.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET · Down0.4000.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Up0.3400.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET · Up0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET · Up0.3700.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Down0.3400.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET · Down0.3300.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET · Up0.3590.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 13:54Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.366$15.01
10-08 13:54Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?SELL0.04$1.57
10-08 13:53Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?SELL0.041$0.44
10-08 09:24Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.3578377691$23.93
10-06 11:45Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETSELL0.63$6.30
10-06 11:43Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETBUY0.5$5.00
10-06 11:42Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETSELL0.16$1.60
10-06 11:42Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.37$3.70
10-06 04:53Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?SELL0.46$50.60
10-05 06:40Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.959$105.49
10-04 14:04Will Declan Rice finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.72$316.80
10-04 12:30Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.83$282.20
10-04 02:58Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 4?BUY0.842$32.00
10-03 03:05Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?BUY0.94$11.60
10-02 03:53Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.9462720833$90.84