0xA0D1Ea746c133929259D9F22D26182Ab3775C141-1716167336797
0xa0d1ea746c133929259d9f22d26182ab3775c141
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $39.3k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $120.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.658 | 0.137 | $72.02 | −$275.32 |
| Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.598 | 0.044 | $45.39 | −$564.81 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.095 | $2.85 | −$16.65 |
| GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$136.00 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? · Yes | 0.679 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.473Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
- +$553.94at 0.898MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
- +$255.00at 0.660Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$212.85at 0.890Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$177.36at 0.530Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-19 10:58 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.66 | $495.00 |
| 04-03 06:59 | GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.68 | $136.00 |
| 03-30 11:20 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | SELL | 0.16790018 | $8.39 |
| 03-30 11:19 | Based FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.25 | $15.00 |
| 03-29 00:28 | Based FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.66 | $39.60 |
| 03-27 21:56 | Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 03-24 08:30 | Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9625250328 | $51.33 |
| 03-19 23:50 | EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.36 | $90.00 |
| 03-19 23:50 | EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.565509 | $56.55 |
| 03-16 11:15 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.59 | $88.50 |
| 03-13 03:51 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $147.40 |
| 03-13 03:49 | Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $600.00 |
| 03-13 03:46 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.65 | $19.50 |
| 03-13 03:44 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | BUY | 0.68 | $6.70 |
| 03-13 03:44 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | BUY | 0.679 | $5.03 |