0xa0cd5c572aae8fba3a5c91bed6ae905f0266fbdf
0xa0cd5c572aae8fba3a5c91bed6ae905f0266fbdf
- Realised P&L
- $22.04
- Volume
- $675.89
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $243.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Cyprus 2 - 1 Latvia? · Yes | 0.060 | 1.000 | $233.22 | +$219.22 |
| Will Cyprus vs. Latvia end in a draw? · No | 0.680 | 1.000 | $10.29 | +$3.29 |
| Will Rwanda win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$6.99 |
| Exact Score: Cyprus 2 - 1 Latvia? · No | 0.950 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$20.99 |
| Will Rwanda vs. Kenya end in a draw? · No | 0.510 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$6.99 |
| Cyprus vs. Latvia: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.800 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.28at 0.374China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev
- +$10.34at 0.179Palermo: Christian Langmo vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko
- +$7.79at 0.878China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun
- +$2.75at 0.447Samsun: Polina Iatcenko vs Suzan Lamens
- +$-0.01at 1.005Exact Score: Uganda 3 - 0 DR Congo?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:53 | Exact Score: Cyprus 2 - 1 Latvia? | BUY | 0.95 | $7.00 |
| 10-05 16:53 | Exact Score: Cyprus 2 - 1 Latvia? | BUY | 0.0599999998 | $7.00 |
| 10-05 16:53 | Exact Score: Cyprus 2 - 1 Latvia? | BUY | 0.95 | $7.00 |
| 10-05 16:53 | Exact Score: Cyprus 2 - 1 Latvia? | BUY | 0.95 | $7.00 |
| 10-05 16:53 | Exact Score: Cyprus 2 - 1 Latvia? | BUY | 0.0599999998 | $7.00 |
| 10-05 16:53 | Will Cyprus vs. Latvia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6799999767 | $7.00 |
| 10-05 16:53 | Cyprus vs. Latvia: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.8 | $7.00 |
| 10-05 16:53 | Will Rwanda win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.2699999992 | $7.00 |
| 10-05 16:53 | Will Rwanda vs. Kenya end in a draw? | BUY | 0.5099999701 | $7.00 |
| 10-05 14:35 | China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun | BUY | 0.8499999939 | $7.00 |
| 10-05 14:35 | China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun | BUY | 0.8499999939 | $7.00 |
| 10-05 14:35 | China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun | BUY | 0.8499999939 | $7.00 |
| 10-05 14:35 | China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun | BUY | 0.8499999939 | $7.00 |
| 10-05 14:35 | China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun | BUY | 0.8499999939 | $7.00 |
| 10-05 14:34 | Braga: Goncalo Marques vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | BUY | 0.0635547957 | $7.00 |