sysysy
0xa0cb5a4826a63a4cd5adbfa75ca5d2e3f46e6567
- Realised P&L
- $-519.55
- Volume
- $114.0k
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $39.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will White House post 40-59 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $19.90 | −$0.08 |
| Will White House post 60-79 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $19.89 | −$0.09 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.60at 0.500Dodgers vs. Blue Jays
- +$2.26at 0.929Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$0.93at 0.968Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$0.43at 0.930Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?
- +$0.22at 0.997Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 14:13 | Will White House post 60-79 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-22 14:13 | Will White House post 40-59 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-04 16:04 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-04 16:04 | Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-04 16:03 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $7.70 |
| 08-21 15:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on August 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.98 |
| 08-21 15:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-21 15:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on August 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 08-21 15:49 | Will White House post 80-99 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-21 15:48 | Will White House post 60-79 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-21 15:48 | Will White House post 40-59 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-12 15:06 | Will White House post 80-99 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-12 15:06 | Will White House post 60-79 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.96 |
| 07-26 14:31 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 07-26 14:31 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |