Memnon11
0xa0c8e4632b67bf9e7b090dbd4f01a90350fb1d76
- Realised P&L
- $-2.93
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 407
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded407
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.03at 0.994PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs. FK Septemvri Sofia: O/U 1.5
- +$0.02at 0.995Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?
- +$0.01at 0.998US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
- +$0.01at 0.998Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
- +$0.01at 0.998England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 01:33 | Dayton vs. Eastern Kentucky | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 03:59 | Will AD Municipal Pérez Zeledón win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 20:00 | Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 20:00 | Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 20:57 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 04:53 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 04:02 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 04:02 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 04:02 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 08-31 21:02 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-31 04:00 | Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30? | BUY | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 08-26 16:10 | Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-26 15:37 | Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-26 15:37 | Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-25 05:56 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |