Polizin
0xa0bf66d900e8a065afb274556c9833cb959a3d56
- Realised P&L
- $-9.74
- Volume
- $205.55
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $11.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.745 | $7.30 | +$2.30 |
| Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 5.5 · Under | 0.860 | 0.750 | $4.36 | −$0.64 |
| Will Bamin Real Potosí win on 2026-08-26? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.90 |
| FC Botoşani vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc: Draw at halftime? · No | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.30 |
| Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-29? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.30 |
| Will Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women win on 2026-08-26? · No | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.17at 0.249Spread: CA Paranaense (-1.5)
- +$1.62at 0.230Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
- +$1.46at 0.710Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-08-25?
- +$1.22at 0.333Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-26?
- +$1.10at 0.779Will FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 01:41 | Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 01:19 | Kraken IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 06:55 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $4.68 |
| 09-03 06:55 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.38 |
| 08-28 13:09 | Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 08-27 19:54 | Will FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-27 18:28 | Will FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda end in a draw? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-27 18:16 | Will FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda end in a draw? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 08-27 18:16 | Will FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda end in a draw? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 08-27 18:15 | Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-08-27? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 08-27 18:14 | Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-08-27? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 08-27 02:45 | Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-08-26? | SELL | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 08-27 02:41 | Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-08-26? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 08-27 02:05 | Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-08-27? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 08-27 02:05 | Will HNK Rijeka vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.45 |