parbdev
0xa0bcf066ba16d526ed482008762b3263600102e6
- Realised P&L
- $-17.70
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 302
- Open portfolio
- $158.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded302
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.46at 0.700Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-05?
- +$19.65at 0.600Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?
- +$18.47at 0.717Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in March?
- +$16.18at 0.657Will Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?
- +$14.77at 0.670Will Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 09:00 | Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR? | BUY | 0.942 | $5.99 |
| 09-03 00:25 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? | BUY | 0.93 | $7.79 |
| 08-21 00:01 | Will João Pedro be named to the 2026 PFA Premier League Team of the Year? | BUY | 0.94 | $5.83 |
| 08-19 14:40 | Will Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.97 | $8.01 |
| 08-19 13:19 | Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.97 | $7.52 |
| 07-30 11:48 | Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.39 |
| 07-30 11:47 | Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31? | BUY | 0.965 | $7.54 |
| 07-17 20:45 | Will the Ethiopian Citizens for Social Justice (EZEMA) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election? | BUY | 0.948 | $5.10 |
| 07-17 15:30 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.96 |
| 07-16 15:30 | Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-03-22? | BUY | 0.94 | $8.60 |
| 07-16 10:56 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | BUY | 0.898 | $10.71 |
| 07-13 11:41 | Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | SELL | 0.813 | $6.38 |
| 07-11 21:52 | Will James Comey be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.9415817378 | $6.39 |
| 07-11 13:37 | Will the Waddani Party (Somaliland National Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.937265625 | $8.40 |
| 07-11 07:42 | Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | BUY | 0.922 | $10.84 |