PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Conciliator

0xa0b8f79093a1fc005caaeeab6c93943b06d74c55

Realised P&L
$-9.57
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
91
Open portfolio
$10.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded91
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 23:44Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 5?BUY0.1714285102$2.00
09-01 13:07Will The Blood of Dawnwalker win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?BUY0.119999952$2.00
09-01 13:06Will Big Walk win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?BUY0.1639998891$1.00
08-18 19:40Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 19?BUY0.3399999422$2.00
08-14 02:00Lions vs. BengalsSELL0.02$0.14
08-14 01:23Lions vs. BengalsBUY0.1399998824$1.00
08-14 00:35Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 14?SELL0.24$0.65
08-14 00:08Lions vs. BengalsSELL0.22$1.25
08-14 00:03Lions vs. BengalsBUY0.1899998751$1.08
08-13 23:27Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 14?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
08-12 23:52Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 13?BUY0.4$1.64
08-12 22:44Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona DiamondbacksSELL0.999$1.03
08-12 22:37Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona DiamondbacksSELL0.02$0.25
08-12 22:37Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona DiamondbacksBUY0.97$1.00
08-12 22:27Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona DiamondbacksBUY0.08$1.00