Conciliator
0xa0b8f79093a1fc005caaeeab6c93943b06d74c55
- Realised P&L
- $-9.57
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $10.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.38at 0.121Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?
- +$3.82at 0.351Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 19?
- +$3.52at 0.125Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?
- +$2.41at 0.412Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 13?
- +$2.24at 0.773Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 23:44 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 5? | BUY | 0.1714285102 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 13:07 | Will The Blood of Dawnwalker win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.119999952 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 13:06 | Will Big Walk win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.1639998891 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 19:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $2.00 |
| 08-14 02:00 | Lions vs. Bengals | SELL | 0.02 | $0.14 |
| 08-14 01:23 | Lions vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 08-14 00:35 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 14? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.65 |
| 08-14 00:08 | Lions vs. Bengals | SELL | 0.22 | $1.25 |
| 08-14 00:03 | Lions vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.1899998751 | $1.08 |
| 08-13 23:27 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 14? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 08-12 23:52 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 13? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.64 |
| 08-12 22:44 | Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | SELL | 0.999 | $1.03 |
| 08-12 22:37 | Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | SELL | 0.02 | $0.25 |
| 08-12 22:37 | Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 08-12 22:27 | Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |