0xa0a93b30c3ab547656bc578bda9921e6874e60f6
- Realised P&L
- $-3.67
- Volume
- $44.75
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $9.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.835 | $2.86 | +$0.77 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · No | 0.569 | 0.594 | $2.18 | +$0.09 |
| Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · No | 0.590 | 0.585 | $2.07 | −$0.02 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No | 0.230 | 0.105 | $0.95 | −$1.14 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No | 0.250 | 0.105 | $0.88 | −$1.21 |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5? · Up | 0.530 | 0.085 | $0.34 | −$1.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.85at 0.710Will Disney say "Moana" during earnings call?
- +$0.70at 0.750S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on August 3?
- +$-2.09at 0.299WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $77 on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 16:27 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.5689999943 | $2.09 |
| 08-05 08:25 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.5299999112 | $2.09 |
| 08-05 00:20 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.09 |
| 08-04 16:17 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $77 on August 4? | BUY | 0.2989999235 | $2.09 |
| 08-04 08:08 | Will Disney say "Moana" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.7099999389 | $2.09 |
| 08-04 08:08 | Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.5899997488 | $2.09 |
| 08-04 00:07 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.2299999285 | $2.09 |
| 08-03 16:06 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on August 3? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.09 |
| 08-03 08:05 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.6099999767 | $2.09 |