PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Jan Sebastian

0xa0a4a6e94614e21cdd30f2fb7cccf91f948291ec

Realised P&L
$-468.94
Volume
$15.9k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$5.96

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1340.006$4.84$95.04
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0500.004$1.12$14.88
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? · No0.3200.000$0.00$100.00
Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$48.00
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$35.98
Will Google One be #1 Grossing App in Play Store on December 19? · No0.0170.000$0.00$16.00
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.1220.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
12-22 11:00Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.1340112301$99.88
12-22 10:46Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.0502166436$16.00
12-19 14:12Will Google One be #1 Grossing App in Play Store on December 19?BUY0.0165475937$16.00
12-09 18:22Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?BUY0.4699999975$48.00
12-09 18:18Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.1217686787$50.00
12-09 18:10Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? BUY0.3196306776$100.00
12-09 17:59No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?BUY0.0269999993$35.98
04-28 12:01Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?BUY0.1989999852$10.00
04-28 12:00Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?BUY0.0649402477$35.00
11-15 09:07Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?BUY0.32$70.00
11-06 09:35$WIF listed on Coinbase in 2024?BUY0.1890885845$15.00
11-06 09:32Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?BUY0.2465827003$26.00
07-31 09:55China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?BUY0.25$40.00
07-31 09:54[Single Market] Will Kamala Harris win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.971$35.96
07-28 09:05China wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?BUY0.0444761357$20.00