0xa09D35Cd5D693f247f33F84bbaeC816315D8AF80-1760963487396
0xa09d35cd5d693f247f33f84bbaec816315d8af80
- Realised P&L
- $-11.8k
- Volume
- $634.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,379
- Open portfolio
- $55.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,379
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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- +$472.72at 0.510Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 31?
- +$469.98at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 10:27 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.9829229496 | $100.00 |
| 10-14 00:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.974249616 | $60.00 |
| 10-13 14:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.9547260914 | $50.00 |
| 10-13 14:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 14:25 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.941747555 | $20.00 |
| 10-12 14:24 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.9310278944 | $60.00 |
| 08-08 23:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999958 | $50.00 |
| 08-08 23:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5378486012 | $50.00 |
| 08-08 23:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | BUY | 0.6448195185 | $50.00 |
| 07-24 19:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 25? | SELL | 0.671004 | $67.10 |
| 07-24 15:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.93 | $500.00 |
| 07-24 15:37 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 24? | SELL | 0.999 | $100.91 |
| 07-24 15:37 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 24? | SELL | 0.999 | $349.56 |
| 07-24 15:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.9134624138 | $200.00 |
| 07-24 14:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.6709672469 | $100.00 |