0xa09befb9453616043f457ba9fcfa94c607859b09
- Realised P&L
- $-547.79
- Volume
- $24.3k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $97.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 Rocket Classic? · Yes | 0.093 | 1.000 | $97.93 | +$88.78 |
| Spread: Spurs (-14.5) · Timberwolves | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.60 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.72 |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds · Under | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.98 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$97.02 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.539 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$314.81 |
| UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card) · Steve Garcia | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.50 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$151.04 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$108.41 |
| Lakers vs. Thunder · Lakers | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.90 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$93.76 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.91 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? · No | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.63 |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Conor McGregor | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.00 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.511 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$239.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$251.86at 0.584San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$242.64at 0.473San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$211.02at 0.190Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
- +$194.26at 0.606Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
- +$178.34at 0.553Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:30 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.6199999993 | $165.33 |
| 08-02 19:14 | Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 Rocket Classic? | BUY | 0.0939999769 | $3.33 |
| 08-02 19:14 | Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 Rocket Classic? | BUY | 0.0930408026 | $5.82 |
| 08-02 19:13 | Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Rocket Classic? | BUY | 0.2829999272 | $1.97 |
| 08-02 01:21 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.51 | $151.04 |
| 07-31 02:05 | Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.5799999984 | $137.62 |
| 07-30 01:46 | Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.6299999987 | $167.34 |
| 07-29 20:01 | Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $96.00 |
| 07-29 01:50 | Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.6799999985 | $108.41 |
| 07-24 23:00 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.55 | $120.78 |
| 07-22 23:22 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.4 | $99.00 |
| 07-21 00:31 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.16 | $27.72 |
| 07-20 01:01 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.4 | $47.52 |
| 07-19 23:08 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.5599999993 | $101.96 |
| 07-19 18:56 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5874999989 | $150.48 |