PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

happy111

0xa09af68dfa67f6ef51e5bc95632e90aac57a2b5d

Realised P&L
$-36.08
Volume
$25.5k
Markets traded
499
Open portfolio
$100.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded499
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September? · No0.9970.997$89.73+$0.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.8700.993$2.28+$0.28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · No0.8740.915$2.09+$0.09
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.9900.991$2.00+$0.00
Will Sundar Pichai attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? · Yes0.9100.944$1.04+$0.04
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · Yes0.7400.760$1.03+$0.03
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.7000.715$1.02+$0.02
Will Elon Musk attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? · Yes0.9580.959$1.00+$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? · Up0.1400.000$0.00$1.00
Solana Up or Down - December 21, 10PM ET · Down0.0070.000$0.00$0.70
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 31? · Up0.9300.000$0.00$3.00
Ethereum Up or Down on April 29? · Up0.9660.000$0.00$2.42
Ethereum Up or Down on April 10? · Down0.8210.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? · Up0.9000.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 29? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 04:46Will Elon Musk attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?BUY0.9579999866$1.00
09-22 04:46Will Sundar Pichai attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?BUY0.91$1.00
09-22 04:46Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.9899995199$2.00
09-22 04:45Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?BUY0.7399996448$1.00
09-22 04:45Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?BUY0.69999972$1.00
09-22 04:43Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?BUY0.997$89.73
09-22 04:41Will Javier Bardem win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.995$1.99
09-22 04:41Will Josh O'Connor win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.998$2.00
09-22 04:41Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?SELL0.998$89.82
09-18 08:09Will Josh O'Connor win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.999$2.00
09-18 08:08Will Javier Bardem win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.999$2.00
09-18 08:08HYPE Up or Down on September 18?BUY0.98$1.00
09-18 08:08Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18?BUY0.9$1.00
09-18 08:07Ethereum Up or Down on September 18?BUY0.74$1.00
09-18 08:07Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?BUY0.995$89.55