happy111
0xa09af68dfa67f6ef51e5bc95632e90aac57a2b5d
- Realised P&L
- $-36.08
- Volume
- $25.5k
- Markets traded
- 499
- Open portfolio
- $100.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded499
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.76at 0.973Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
- +$1.36at 0.880Ethereum Up or Down on October 31?
- +$0.96at 0.510Solana Up or Down on December 26?
- +$0.93at 0.953Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 8?
- +$0.82at 0.550Solana above $170 on August 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 04:46 | Will Elon Musk attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.9579999866 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 04:46 | Will Sundar Pichai attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 04:46 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.9899995199 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 04:45 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 04:45 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 04:43 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September? | BUY | 0.997 | $89.73 |
| 09-22 04:41 | Will Javier Bardem win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.995 | $1.99 |
| 09-22 04:41 | Will Josh O'Connor win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.998 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 04:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? | SELL | 0.998 | $89.82 |
| 09-18 08:09 | Will Josh O'Connor win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 08:08 | Will Javier Bardem win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 08:08 | HYPE Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 08:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 08:07 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 08:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? | BUY | 0.995 | $89.55 |