PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa09107E4DF94dc0F1815721058dcd38273D69150-1768032562635

0xa09107e4df94dc0f1815721058dcd38273d69150

Realised P&L
$-19.05
Volume
$849.63
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$4.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 2? · Yes0.4300.420$2.10−$0.05
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 2? · Yes0.2800.265$1.32−$0.07
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 2? · Yes0.2100.185$0.93−$0.13
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 1? · Yes0.0020.003$0.02+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or below on October 1? · Yes0.0010.001$0.00−$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 26? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$1.30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 27? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$1.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 07:28Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 2?BUY0.21$1.05
10-01 07:28Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 2?BUY0.43$2.15
10-01 07:28Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 2?BUY0.28$1.40
09-29 14:14Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 29?SELL0.002$0.05
09-29 07:31Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 30?BUY0.77$3.85
09-29 03:16Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 29?BUY0.024$0.65
09-28 18:11Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 30?SELL0.46$2.30
09-28 17:14Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 30?BUY0.48$2.40
09-28 17:13Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 30?SELL0.28$1.40
09-28 17:11Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 30?BUY0.28$1.40
09-28 13:33Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 29?SELL0.48$2.40
09-28 13:08Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 29?SELL0.56$1.72
09-28 12:49Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 29?BUY0.62$3.10
09-28 10:55Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 28?SELL0.03$0.93
09-28 10:44Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 29?SELL0.07$0.35