marivic
0xa08a232449e6641945b7029c3f17c9b7184939c1
- Realised P&L
- $-352.19
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $0.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-19.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.001 | $0.08 | −$49.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.02at 0.450UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)
- +$-46.41at 0.550Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 8-14?
- +$-105.06at 0.257Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 22-28?
- +$-149.78at 0.680Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 22:37 | Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.3299999989 | $50.00 |
| 11-14 23:32 | UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.44 | $44.95 |
| 11-14 23:27 | UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4499999971 | $45.97 |
| 04-24 19:33 | Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 22-28? | BUY | 0.2567014365 | $105.06 |
| 04-14 02:21 | Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.22 |
| 04-11 13:19 | Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 8-14? | SELL | 0.3279545 | $65.59 |
| 04-11 13:10 | Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.6799999995 | $150.00 |
| 04-10 01:07 | Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 8-14? | BUY | 0.55 | $110.00 |
| 04-09 23:49 | Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 8-14? | SELL | 0.53 | $53.00 |
| 04-09 23:43 | Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 8-14? | BUY | 0.55 | $55.00 |