SanCristo
0xa07eb4287ba686a1575aa4724fb6e111e7527db6
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $195.8k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$115.71at 0.147Israel military action against Iran by Friday?
- +$42.90at 0.160Elon out of Trump administration before July?
- +$21.12at 0.280Israel military action against Iran before July?
- +$6.67at 0.060Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
- +$6.05at 0.842Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 20:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? | BUY | 0.0329999998 | $4.00 |
| 10-14 20:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? | BUY | 0.009 | $3.00 |
| 10-14 16:59 | Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31? | BUY | 0.1013508221 | $100.00 |
| 10-14 16:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? | BUY | 0.009 | $6.44 |
| 10-14 16:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? | BUY | 0.0289758534 | $6.00 |
| 10-14 16:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? | BUY | 0.009 | $16.00 |
| 10-14 16:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? | BUY | 0.0269730269 | $16.00 |
| 10-11 20:04 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6099999984 | $30.00 |
| 10-11 20:02 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4628438895 | $250.00 |
| 10-11 20:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 20:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? | BUY | 0.0125006491 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 20:02 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | BUY | 0.0629370629 | $20.00 |
| 10-09 19:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? | BUY | 0.0599999999 | $20.00 |
| 10-09 19:58 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.89 | $159.50 |
| 10-07 23:13 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6199999975 | $50.00 |