HighlandSpring
0xa07ad6fa8adc3e603b5dfff3743a0f21ccbe4f89
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $139.8k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $49.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $49.86 | −$149.96 |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win Norway Chess 2026? · Yes | 0.419 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.93 |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov Win the Sinquefield Cup? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$999.99at 0.230World Chess Championship 2024 Winner
- +$240.83at 0.245Will Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026?
- +$169.54at 0.597Will Wesley So Win the Sinquefield Cup?
- +$150.49at 0.658Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?
- +$61.42at 0.623Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 20:30 | Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0020115719 | $100.00 |
| 08-19 19:15 | Will Wesley So Win the Sinquefield Cup? | BUY | 0.6258628611 | $200.00 |
| 08-19 17:17 | Will Javokhir Sindarov Win the Sinquefield Cup? | BUY | 0.1012189638 | $50.00 |
| 08-19 14:03 | Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | BUY | 0.6136211626 | $100.00 |
| 08-19 13:47 | Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $100.00 |
| 08-13 22:41 | Will Wesley So Win the Sinquefield Cup? | BUY | 0.455539669 | $46.00 |
| 08-05 16:30 | Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournament | BUY | 0.2884533945 | $47.00 |
| 08-02 17:35 | Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | SELL | 0.69 | $1.0k |
| 06-10 17:39 | Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.6602984981 | $1000.00 |
| 06-04 19:10 | Will Alireza Firouzja win Norway Chess 2026? | BUY | 0.4191578947 | $15.93 |
| 06-03 21:08 | Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026? | SELL | 0.985 | $453.81 |
| 06-03 21:02 | Will Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026? | SELL | 0.5410057264 | $112.43 |
| 06-03 20:55 | Will Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026? | SELL | 0.543 | $37.61 |
| 06-03 13:21 | Will Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $48.95 |
| 06-03 13:16 | Will Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $65.26 |