Optionall
0xa07481364592a84e3acaacf4ddc60b6d4afc65a0
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $157.8k
- Markets traded
- 277
- Open portfolio
- $100.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded277
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $100.10 | +$0.05 |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $0.53 | −$3.47 |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes | 0.319 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.90 |
| Red Wings vs. Blues · Blues | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$950.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.55at 0.748Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
- +$31.90at 0.681Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$3.13at 0.970Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
- +$2.59at 0.995Bulls vs. Pacers
- +$2.19at 0.340Rockets vs. Warriors
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 11:33 | Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.05 |
| 08-30 02:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9989999574 | $16.29 |
| 08-29 03:32 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $24.91 |
| 08-03 02:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.56 |
| 08-02 02:20 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $53.00 |
| 08-02 02:20 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $52.00 |
| 07-04 04:57 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $108.46 |
| 06-17 13:52 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.19 |
| 06-07 11:28 | Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $51.00 |
| 06-07 11:28 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9959999858 | $51.00 |
| 05-23 10:48 | Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.90 |
| 05-13 02:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $102.00 |
| 04-25 11:13 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.54 |
| 04-08 00:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? | BUY | 0.996 | $99.94 |
| 03-29 08:18 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of March? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.14 |