f21g5fd
0xa06fb5d31ff17b90caf0414ddf96f49d0ff190ac
- Realised P&L
- $515.62
- Volume
- $44.6k
- Markets traded
- 251
- Open portfolio
- $193.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded251
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.510Devils vs. Kings
- +$61.04at 0.720Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-11?
- +$20.50at 0.590Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$11.88at 0.440Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?
- +$1.51at 0.976Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 08:44 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 09-12 22:07 | Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $16.60 |
| 09-02 22:00 | Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election? | SELL | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 09-02 16:14 | US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.22 |
| 08-23 14:23 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 08-20 07:20 | Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 08-20 07:19 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará? | SELL | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 08-19 20:06 | Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 08-19 14:38 | Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.83 | $16.60 |
| 08-19 13:27 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $16.60 |
| 08-19 03:28 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $7.60 |
| 08-18 23:57 | Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027? | SELL | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 08-18 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18? | SELL | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 08-18 04:09 | Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? | SELL | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 08-17 06:31 | Will Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.80 |