0xa06c4bf65bc5aeb85aa8d75ce3290ac6c29d6aa8
0xa06c4bf65bc5aeb85aa8d75ce3290ac6c29d6aa8
- Realised P&L
- $-605.14
- Volume
- $14.4k
- Markets traded
- 186
- Open portfolio
- $38.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded186
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana State vs. Idaho: O/U 49.5 · Under | 0.530 | 0.205 | $37.96 | −$60.18 |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-4.5) · Virginia Tech | 0.730 | 0.001 | $0.07 | −$98.53 |
| Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech · Virginia Tech | 0.420 | 0.001 | $0.06 | −$48.77 |
| Penn State vs. Northwestern · Penn State | 0.500 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$48.10 |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-1.5) · Virginia Tech | 0.820 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$24.68 |
| Spread: Miami (FL) (-20.5) · Miami (FL) | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Celtics vs. Trail Blazers · Celtics | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.95 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Saint Mary's Gaels · Gonzaga Bulldogs | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.48 |
| High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers · Wisconsin Badgers | 0.472 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Lightning vs. Rangers · Lightning | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.80 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.74 |
| Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. Houston Christian Huskies · Incarnate Word Cardinals | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5) · Miami Hurricanes | 0.482 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 44.5 · Under | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.55 |
| Cardinals vs. Chargers: O/U 44.5 · Over | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$116.88at 0.462Spread: Alabama (-10.5)
- +$87.86at 0.532Spread: Florida Gators (-5.5)
- +$85.57at 0.337Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score
- +$82.85at 0.490Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?
- +$80.35at 0.550Spread: Texas A&M (-17.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 23:24 | Spread: Virginia Tech (-4.5) | BUY | 0.7296299859 | $98.59 |
| 10-01 23:51 | Aaron Rodgers: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | BUY | 0.76 | $24.67 |
| 10-01 02:19 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.00794488 | $0.99 |
| 10-01 01:54 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.14 | $4.76 |
| 10-01 01:38 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.25 | $9.62 |
| 09-30 18:34 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.43 | $9.77 |
| 09-29 21:02 | Panthers vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.45 | $34.24 |
| 09-29 01:31 | Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 43.5 | BUY | 0.8008304756 | $53.71 |
| 09-28 20:37 | Spread: Eagles (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5599999941 | $34.38 |
| 09-28 00:08 | Spread: Rams (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5499999955 | $24.55 |
| 09-27 21:30 | Ravens vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.6899999979 | $98.57 |
| 09-27 17:01 | Panthers vs. Browns | BUY | 0.55 | $29.46 |
| 09-26 20:06 | Ole Miss vs. Florida | BUY | 0.28 | $9.33 |
| 09-26 19:47 | Texas vs. Tennessee | BUY | 0.03 | $1.60 |
| 09-26 19:44 | Texas vs. Tennessee | BUY | 0.09 | $4.28 |