sdfse4tg
0xa062279f35c7fec34652b13a9a2f10bd2a9ece3f
- Realised P&L
- $1.74
- Volume
- $11.4k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $8.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration48.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on October 10? · No | 0.994 | 0.990 | $8.54 | −$0.03 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.50 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of May 4 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.90at 0.500Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of May 4 2026?
- +$22.09at 0.500Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?
- +$0.92at 0.999Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C or below on September 6?
- +$0.58at 0.942Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 8?
- +$0.41at 0.971Will Meta (META) close above $650 on June 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 13:05 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.994 | $8.58 |
| 10-06 14:52 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.58 |
| 09-26 01:38 | Ball State vs. Kent State: O/U 35.5 | BUY | 0.97 | $6.47 |
| 09-04 15:27 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C or below on September 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $962.04 |
| 07-07 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 8? | BUY | 0.939 | $9.39 |
| 07-04 12:14 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on July 5? | BUY | 0.9880011111 | $8.89 |
| 06-26 16:20 | Spread: New Zealand (-1.5) | BUY | 0.985 | $12.31 |
| 06-15 05:09 | Spread: Jordan (-2.5) | BUY | 0.995 | $7.96 |
| 06-11 01:34 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 12? | BUY | 0.992 | $8.24 |
| 06-06 02:42 | Will Meta (META) close above $650 on June 8? | BUY | 0.97 | $13.84 |
| 05-28 12:36 | Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 25 above $395? | BUY | 0.98 | $8.69 |
| 05-14 12:22 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or below on May 15? | BUY | 0.9921241379 | $14.39 |
| 04-23 05:19 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on April 24? | BUY | 0.997 | $11.96 |
| 04-21 13:27 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 22? | BUY | 0.987 | $17.35 |
| 04-15 14:01 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? | BUY | 0.957 | $191.40 |