PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sdfse4tg

0xa062279f35c7fec34652b13a9a2f10bd2a9ece3f

Realised P&L
$1.74
Volume
$11.4k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$8.54

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration48.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on October 10? · No0.9940.990$8.54−$0.03
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027? · No0.5000.000$0.00−$23.50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of May 4 2026? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$24.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 13:05Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on October 10?BUY0.994$8.58
10-06 14:52Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 7?BUY0.998$5.58
09-26 01:38Ball State vs. Kent State: O/U 35.5BUY0.97$6.47
09-04 15:27Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C or below on September 6?BUY0.999$962.04
07-07 14:04Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 8?BUY0.939$9.39
07-04 12:14Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on July 5?BUY0.9880011111$8.89
06-26 16:20Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)BUY0.985$12.31
06-15 05:09Spread: Jordan (-2.5)BUY0.995$7.96
06-11 01:34Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 12?BUY0.992$8.24
06-06 02:42Will Meta (META) close above $650 on June 8?BUY0.97$13.84
05-28 12:36Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 25 above $395?BUY0.98$8.69
05-14 12:22Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or below on May 15?BUY0.9921241379$14.39
04-23 05:19Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on April 24?BUY0.997$11.96
04-21 13:27Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 22?BUY0.987$17.35
04-15 14:01Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?BUY0.957$191.40