plnoweather
0xa0563cfc19f9f3fa4ffef0d343dcac24e56ddefd
- Realised P&L
- $-393.49
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,453
- Open portfolio
- $4.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,453
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.71at 0.382Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 25?
- +$16.01at 0.392Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 18?
- +$14.10at 0.422Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 1?
- +$14.05at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 19?
- +$12.05at 0.374Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.0027849981 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.0145251721 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on October 1? | BUY | 0.050746267 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.1373134271 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.16 | $0.96 |
| 09-30 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.008942217 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.017116198 | $0.74 |
| 09-30 18:03 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:03 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:03 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.0177521674 | $0.94 |
| 09-30 18:03 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 06:50 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 17:50 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.94999962 | $1.00 |