PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xa054a910cfF3f6D3503335577f12D68a169Aa95d-1776013841606

0xa054a910cff3f6d3503335577f12d68a169aa95d

Realised P&L
$10.1k
Volume
$472.8k
Markets traded
956
Open portfolio
$4.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded956
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 12:47Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 8?BUY0.85$17.00
10-08 12:38Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or below on October 8?SELL0.3667636745$19.24
10-08 12:37Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or below on October 8?SELL0.3807279358$10.44
10-08 12:18Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 8?SELL0.8$11.45
10-08 12:09Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 8?BUY0.65$34.31
10-08 12:08Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 8?BUY0.69$8.92
10-08 11:40Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 8?SELL0.371$1.76
10-08 11:40Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 8?SELL0.3731979414$9.43
10-08 11:39Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 8?SELL0.36275$7.26
10-08 11:36Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or below on October 8?SELL0.0243778$2.44
10-08 11:26Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 8?BUY0.472$30.65
10-08 11:23Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 8?BUY0.4595539697$10.30
10-08 11:23Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 8?BUY0.419151653$13.82
10-08 11:17Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or below on October 8?BUY0.019$1.61
10-08 11:16Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 8?BUY0.2$3.00