0xa054a910cfF3f6D3503335577f12D68a169Aa95d-1776013841606
0xa054a910cff3f6d3503335577f12d68a169aa95d
- Realised P&L
- $10.1k
- Volume
- $472.8k
- Markets traded
- 956
- Open portfolio
- $4.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded956
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.686Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or higher on April 16?
- +$767.77at 0.318Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C or below on June 27?
- +$519.69at 0.389Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on April 25?
- +$518.79at 0.712Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 20?
- +$507.88at 0.737Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C or higher on April 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 12:47 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 10-08 12:38 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or below on October 8? | SELL | 0.3667636745 | $19.24 |
| 10-08 12:37 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or below on October 8? | SELL | 0.3807279358 | $10.44 |
| 10-08 12:18 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.8 | $11.45 |
| 10-08 12:09 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.65 | $34.31 |
| 10-08 12:08 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.69 | $8.92 |
| 10-08 11:40 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.371 | $1.76 |
| 10-08 11:40 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.3731979414 | $9.43 |
| 10-08 11:39 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.36275 | $7.26 |
| 10-08 11:36 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or below on October 8? | SELL | 0.0243778 | $2.44 |
| 10-08 11:26 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.472 | $30.65 |
| 10-08 11:23 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.4595539697 | $10.30 |
| 10-08 11:23 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.419151653 | $13.82 |
| 10-08 11:17 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or below on October 8? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.61 |
| 10-08 11:16 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.00 |