0xa054a910cfF3f6D3503335577f12D68a169Aa95d-1776013841606
0xa054a910cff3f6d3503335577f12d68a169aa95d
- Realised P&L
- $9.9k
- Volume
- $388.0k
- Markets traded
- 766
- Open portfolio
- $163.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded766
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.677Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or higher on April 16?
- +$790.01at 0.307Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C or below on June 27?
- +$533.28at 0.705Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 20?
- +$528.46at 0.379Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on April 25?
- +$525.34at 0.728Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C or higher on April 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 11:24 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.265 | $1.55 |
| 08-10 11:16 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.199630137 | $14.57 |
| 08-10 11:13 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.1554261772 | $7.79 |
| 08-10 11:12 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.178 | $3.56 |
| 08-10 11:11 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.1896363636 | $10.43 |
| 08-10 11:10 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.142 | $2.81 |
| 08-10 11:08 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.1357692308 | $1.77 |
| 08-10 11:06 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.1362777778 | $2.45 |
| 08-10 10:58 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 08-10 10:57 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.1335 | $4.00 |
| 08-10 10:56 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.1211377106 | $2.08 |
| 08-10 10:56 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.11375 | $2.27 |
| 08-10 10:55 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.0986919555 | $1.51 |
| 08-10 10:30 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.065 | $7.87 |
| 08-10 10:30 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.082 | $1.23 |