0xa04a739c8ebcc907abaef05cf3b08b6b342b6bf2
- Realised P&L
- $-741.10
- Volume
- $48.2k
- Markets traded
- 145
- Open portfolio
- $5.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded145
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.008 | $5.02 | −$20.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$257.31at 0.777Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
- +$79.48at 0.033Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- +$53.64at 0.771Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Norway Vs Senegal FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$41.55at 0.797Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
- +$39.49at 0.761Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Ecuador vs Germany FIFA World Cup Match?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 05:00 | Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.0248158461 | $12.18 |
| 07-21 03:16 | Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0180000001 | $2.72 |
| 07-21 03:16 | Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.1785615385 | $2.32 |
| 07-19 20:20 | Will "DNA" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show? | SELL | 0.0124264553 | $0.48 |
| 07-19 20:15 | Will "Baby" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show? | SELL | 0.0037378641 | $0.19 |
| 07-19 19:26 | Will "DNA" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show? | BUY | 0.1649999442 | $2.35 |
| 07-19 19:24 | Will "DNA" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show? | BUY | 0.1649999672 | $4.00 |
| 07-19 19:13 | Will the announcers say "Equalizer" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.2533692513 | $31.00 |
| 07-19 19:10 | Will "Baby" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show? | BUY | 0.1359040072 | $7.00 |
| 07-12 03:04 | Will Paddy Pimblett win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.1799999236 | $1.65 |
| 07-12 03:04 | Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.181549 | $1.82 |
| 07-12 03:02 | Will the announcers say "Blood," "Bloody," or "Bloodied" during McGregor vs Holloway? | BUY | 0.4599999496 | $4.38 |
| 07-12 03:01 | Will the announcers say "Nasty" during Benoit Saint-Denis vs Paddy Pimblett? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 03:00 | UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.999 | $6.59 |
| 07-12 02:40 | UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4799999697 | $3.17 |