rocky45
0xa04499251fece2ec4876a80e8938621f5f435c3f
- Realised P&L
- $108.10
- Volume
- $93.3k
- Markets traded
- 137
- Open portfolio
- $398.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded137
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$466.51at 0.630Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$217.32at 0.480Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$126.09at 0.270Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$106.05at 0.817Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
- +$93.08at 0.803Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 14:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.967 | $9.67 |
| 06-03 19:52 | Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-03? | SELL | 0.21 | $29.40 |
| 06-03 18:37 | Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-03? | BUY | 0.24 | $12.00 |
| 06-03 18:36 | Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-03? | BUY | 0.24 | $21.60 |
| 05-30 09:02 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3345768571 | $140.52 |
| 05-30 09:01 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.319 | $0.20 |
| 05-30 08:58 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | BUY | 0.965 | $193.00 |
| 05-30 08:56 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.41 | $12.30 |
| 05-30 08:56 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.41 | $20.50 |
| 05-21 09:33 | Will the Republican Party win the AR-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.93 | $27.90 |
| 05-21 09:30 | Will Mark Baisley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado? | BUY | 0.944 | $18.88 |
| 05-21 09:28 | Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat? | BUY | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 05-06 11:24 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.84 | $42.00 |
| 05-06 11:24 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.84 | $24.36 |
| 05-06 11:20 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $182.00 |