Owtye
0xa043d0ffee16dfa3e771c2f59c45fcbbc896435e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $26.2k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $611.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.790 | 0.968 | $438.28 | +$80.41 |
| Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.080 | $173.68 | −$43.42 |
| Navy Midshipmen vs. Lafayette Leopards · Lafayette Leopards | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| Omaha Mavericks vs. North Dakota State Bison · Omaha Mavericks | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$692.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$400.50at 0.400UFC 324: Johnson vs. Hernandez (Lightweight, Prelims)
- +$20.00at 0.880Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$19.08at 0.810Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?
- +$4.38at 0.887Will France win Eurovision 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.512Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 12:26 | Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $33.70 |
| 07-29 12:23 | Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $26.50 |
| 07-29 12:16 | Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $31.40 |
| 07-29 12:01 | Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $34.90 |
| 07-29 11:45 | Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $33.50 |
| 07-29 11:38 | Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $28.00 |
| 07-29 11:36 | Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $29.10 |
| 06-25 01:56 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $257.58 |
| 06-02 08:14 | Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $319.14 |
| 04-28 06:52 | Will France win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.896 | $436.33 |
| 04-23 06:21 | Will France win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.8869999999 | $431.96 |
| 04-22 07:35 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.79 | $357.87 |
| 04-09 06:19 | Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.968 | $1.0k |
| 03-31 07:19 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.896 | $1.1k |
| 03-09 07:55 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.512 | $207.88 |